Posts Tagged ‘ERII’

Developers & Desal

Monday, June 23rd, 2008

If you think I’m making up the problem of water scarcity, or you think it’s a problem for places far far away, or it’s just another hippy trend that isn’t real – talk to the developers in California who have piles of wood stacked up that they can’t turn into houses because the state won’t approve “will-serve” letters. In other words, the state can’t promise they will serve fresh water. Trust me, the state has no motive to stop economic growth like this.

Desalination is the process by which most of the world will likely turn to, as they need fresh water. Not too many investments open to the retail investor, yet. But eyes are open, and ideas are rampant.

I already own Hyflux. And I’ll likely buy a little ERII if I can get it for anywhere near $6 upon the ipo.

But thinking outside the box here, I’d like to own the names selling the membranes, and doing the chlorination & dechlorination, or pH neutralization. My favorite idea on how to invest in desal is buy the guys handelling/channeling the brine. The brine is the salt the facilities need to deal with. Usually it means dumping it back in the ocean, which, on a conservation of mass basis looks okay, but studies have shown clouds of shrimp dieing and discoloration of beaches. Of course, less unique, you could own the names selling oil-less pumps. That seems easy.

Check out this facility in Cypress:

Cypress Desal

Check out this bore in Australia:

Huge Bore

It’s what’s used to drill horizontal holes for the brine. Link to Source.

SimpleDesal

Energy Recovery

Friday, June 20th, 2008

Scott & Thiago both told me, independently, a while back about a company soon to IPO called Energy Recovery.

Less than 48 hours ago, they filed a bunch of paperwork with the SEC.

I’ve spent about 30 minutes looking at the numbers so far.  $8, the midpoint of their expected range, implies 57x 2007 ep, and Q1 ‘08 came in with lower eps than Q1 ‘07 by a penny.   Of course, sales were higher, and we are talking small cap here, to be priced between $250M and $500M, likely.